Zimbabwe must sell trust

Leonita Mhishi

Leonita Mhishi

A PROPERTY developer in Hara­re can point to a rising skyline, a modern shopping complex or a new gated community and make a con­vincing case that Zimbabwe has room for real estate investment.

Yet, thousands of kilometres away, an international investor may be asking a less glamorous question: if I put mil­lions of dollars into this property, can I protect my capital, earn a predictable return and take my profits home?

That question lies at the heart of Zimbabwe’s challenge in attracting global property capital. The country has land, entrepreneurial talent, a size­able diaspora, growing demand for quality accommodation and opportu­nities in commercial, industrial and residential development. What it must demonstrate more convincingly is that investing here can be as commercially disciplined, transparent and legally se­cure as the opportunities being consid­ered elsewhere.

From Wall Street to Johannesburg, London and Dubai, serious investors do not buy property simply because a city is expanding. They examine the numbers behind the promise. Zim­babwe must therefore move beyond selling potential and start selling cred­ibility.

Consider a Zimbabwean family liv­ing in the United Kingdom that wants to invest its savings in a residential development in Harare. The family sees relatives struggling to find afford­able accommodation and believes a well-managed apartment block could generate rental income while meeting a genuine social need. The developer presents attractive architectural draw­ings, projected rental returns and assur­ances that property values will appre­ciate.

But before committing its money, the family needs answers. Is the land legally available for development? Are the title deeds or other tenure documents valid? Have the necessary planning approvals been obtained? Is the developer financially sound? Can the project be completed on time, and will rental income remain attractive af­ter maintenance, taxes, vacancies and management costs?

These are not merely questions for cautious families. They are the same fundamentals that institutional inves­tors, pension funds, property compa­nies and international lenders examine before approving transactions worth millions of dollars.

The US Department of State’s in­vestment climate assessment for Zim­babwe acknowledges that residential and commercial property rights in ur­ban areas are generally enforced, while identifying more serious concerns sur­rounding agricultural land, regulatory predictability and the broader invest­ment environment. It also highlights difficulties businesses encounter in accessing foreign currency and repatri­ating profits. These distinctions matter: an urban apartment, an industrial ware­house and an agricultural estate do not necessarily carry the same legal or in­vestment risks.

For international investors, the first attraction is return. But return without a reliable assessment of risk is specu­lation.

Zimbabwe’s property market offers several investment possibilities. Harare and Bulawayo need quality housing across different income groups. Indus­trial operators require warehouses, lo­gistics facilities and modern production space. Retailers need viable shopping centres, while tourism presents oppor­tunities for hospitality developments and serviced accommodation. Pur­pose-built student housing, medical facilities and professionally managed rental apartments could also attract investors prepared to take a long-term view.

However, demand must not be confused with guaranteed profitabil­ity. A housing shortage does not auto­matically mean every apartment will find a tenant at the advertised rent. A modern shopping centre can struggle if consumers lack purchasing power, transport is inconvenient or occupancy costs become excessive. An industrial property may remain vacant if power supplies, roads and other essential in­frastructure are unreliable.

Developers should therefore pres­ent investors with credible feasibility studies, independently supported val­uations and realistic cash-flow pro­jections. They must explain who will occupy the property, what tenants can afford, how construction costs will be controlled and what happens if interest rates, exchange rates or demand move against expectations.

In international finance, transparen­cy is not a favour extended to investors; it is a condition of doing business.

Zimbabwe must also confront the question of governance. An investor considering a property development wants to know who owns the project company, who makes its decisions, how money is spent and whether fi­nancial statements can be independent­ly verified. Where a project involves public land, municipal approvals or a public-private partnership, the process should be particularly clear.

A developer with an attractive building and weak governance is a risk. So is a project whose success depends on personal connections rather than published rules and enforceable agree­ments.

This is where Zimbabwe can make practical progress without waiting for a complete economic transformation. Property developers can publish au­dited financial statements, disclose beneficial ownership, use independent boards and appoint reputable project managers. Investors’ money can be placed in appropriately structured proj­ect accounts, with payments released against independently verified con­struction milestones. Contracts should clearly define delivery dates, penalties for non-performance, dispute-resolu­tion procedures and the responsibilities of each party.

Such measures would protect local buyers as much as foreign investors. Zimbabweans have too often had to navigate property transactions in which impressive marketing material is eas­ier to obtain than definitive answers about land ownership, construction progress or delivery timelines. Better governance would help distinguish le­gitimate developers from those whose business models depend on selling promises.

Due diligence is equally important. Before committing funds, investors should obtain independent legal opin­ions, verify ownership and encum­brances through the relevant official records, confirm planning permissions and inspect the project’s financial po­sition. They should also assess con­struction quality, contractor credentials, insurance arrangements and the legal rights attached to the property.

The government has an important role in making these checks faster, more accessible and more dependable. The Zimbabwe Investment and Devel­opment Agency (ZIDA), established under the Zimbabwe Investment and Development Agency Act of 2020, provides a framework for facilitating investment. Yet an investment agency can only build confidence if the wider institutions investors encounter deliver consistent decisions, accessible infor­mation and predictable enforcement.

The International Monetary Fund’s 2025 Article IV assessment identified persistent structural challenges in Zim­babwe, including weaknesses in eco­nomic governance, financial openness and bureaucratic procedures. These concerns reach beyond property, but real estate is particularly exposed be­cause projects require substantial up­front capital and take years to generate returns.

Currency risk is another issue Zimbabwe cannot afford to dismiss. Property is a long-term asset, while the currencies used to pay contractors, collect rent, service loans and repatriate returns can change. An investor may achieve an impressive nominal rental yield and still suffer a substantial loss when returns are converted into the currency used to measure the original investment.

Developers should therefore dis­close the currency assumptions under­pinning their projections and explain how leases, financing arrangements and operating expenses will be man­aged. Investors need clear information about applicable exchange-control re­quirements, taxes, transaction costs and the lawful procedures for transferring eligible proceeds abroad. No responsi­ble promoter should promise effortless profit repatriation without accounting for the regulations and availability of foreign currency.

There is, nevertheless, a compel­ling opportunity in Zimbabwe’s di­aspora. Millions of dollars in private savings and remittances represent a potential source of long-term invest­ment, although remittances should not be mistaken for a guaranteed pool of property capital. Many Zimbabweans abroad would welcome professionally managed projects that offer transparent pricing, verifiable construction prog­ress and reliable rental administration.

Developers could help unlock this market by publishing standardised investment prospectuses, providing regular project updates and using in­dependent escrow or other suitable in­vestor-protection arrangements. Rental income and operating expenses should be reported clearly, while property management should be handled by ac­countable professionals rather than in­formal intermediaries.

International capital could also sup­port more than luxury housing. Proper­ly structured investment in affordable rental accommodation, industrial parks, student residences and energy-efficient buildings could create employment, improve productivity and expand ac­cess to essential services. Such proj­ects become more attractive when they demonstrate both a credible financial return and measurable economic value.

Ultimately, Zimbabwe must under­stand that global investors compare opportunities across borders. A project in Harare competes not only with an­other development in Bulawayo, but potentially with investments in Nairo­bi, Johannesburg or Lusaka. Investors will weigh expected returns against political, legal, currency, construction and liquidity risks. Where uncertainty is higher, they may demand a larger re­turn, stronger contractual protections or simply choose another market.

The country does not need to pre­tend that these risks have disappeared. It needs to show that they are rec­ognised, measured and being reduced.

That requires consistent land ad­ministration, reliable planning approv­als, transparent public procurement, credible courts, predictable tax rules and effective action against corruption. It also requires the private sector to abandon the belief that a glossy bro­chure, a prominent shareholder or a fashionable address is enough to secure serious investment.

Zimbabwe’s real estate future will not be determined by the number of cranes on its skyline or the height of its newest tower. It will be determined by whether investors can verify the land, trust the contracts, understand the risks and account for every dollar commit­ted.

For the family abroad, the pension fund in Johannesburg or the investment company in London, confidence be­gins long before the first brick is laid. It begins when the evidence stands up to scrutiny.

Zimbabwe has property worth de­veloping and communities worth serv­ing. Its next task is to make trust one of its most valuable assets.

l Mhishi is the Principal Registered Estate Agent at HSP REALTY and can be reached on +263 772 329 569 or via email at leonita@hsp.co.zw

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